Strategies

PAPER · DEMOWhite Star clientMANUAL BOOK +8

Live DFlow crypto up/down roll plus opt-in strategy previews.

WSC-CRYPTO-UPDOWN8/12 live legsSSE fallbackDFlow keyed

Crypto Up/Down DFlow Weighted Roll

Itô-weighted live basket across active Polymarket and DFlow-backed BTC/ETH up/down windows.

50ms stream
Basket price
37.66
5:02:43 AM
Paper PnL
-$519.54
$1.00K rolling notional
Account value
$480.46
mark-to-basket
Next roll
2:16
Polymarket BTC 5m
40.9338.8236.705:02:23 AM5:02:43 AM

Roll State

paper rebalance ledger

Entry
52.83
current roll
Rolls
4
5:00:06 AM
Realized
-$238.22
closed rolls
Unrealized
-$281.32
active roll
Open paper lots
8/8 visible
Mark PnL
-$281.32
Polymarket BTC 5m
open / $100.00 / 36.78 -> 5.74 / -84.39%
-$84.39
Polymarket BTC 15m
open / $100.00 / 42.91 -> 23.21 / -45.93%
-$45.93
Polymarket BTC 1h
open / $100.00 / 45.20 -> 34.66 / -23.33%
-$23.33
Polymarket BTC 4h
open / $100.00 / 81.92 -> 78.86 / -3.74%
-$3.74
Polymarket ETH 5m
open / $100.00 / 46.10 -> 11.15 / -75.80%
-$75.80
Polymarket ETH 15m
open / $100.00 / 44.34 -> 29.05 / -34.49%
-$34.49
Polymarket ETH 1h
open / $100.00 / 45.51 -> 40.06 / -11.97%
-$11.97
Polymarket ETH 4h
open / $100.00 / 79.85 -> 78.52 / -1.67%
-$1.67
Recently closed
DFlow BTC 1h
closed / $100.00 / 99.00 -> 99.00 / 0.00%
$0.00
DFlow ETH 1h
closed / $100.00 / 99.00 -> 99.00 / 0.00%
$0.00
Polymarket BTC 5m
closed / $100.00 / 69.52 -> 36.78 / -47.10%
-$47.10
Polymarket BTC 15m
closed / $100.00 / 83.42 -> 42.91 / -48.55%
-$48.55
DFlow route
error
auth env DFLOW_API_KEY
Priced
0/4
Routed
0/4
Initialized
4/4
Status
error
DFlow realtime
4 markets via DFlow polling
last poll 5:02:43 AM
Latest rolls
DFlow route rebalance
$0.00
5:00:06 AM / dflow_kalshi-btc-1h:KXBTCD-26MAY2501-T77199.99||dflow_kalshi-eth-1h:KXETHD-26MAY2501-T2099.99||polymarket-btc-15m:btc-updown-15m-1779685200||polymarket-btc-1h:bitcoin-up-or-down-may-25-2026-1am-et||polymarket-btc-4h:btc-updown-4h-1779681600||polymarket-btc-5m:btc-updown-5m-1779685200||polymarket-eth-15m:eth-updown-15m-1779685200||polymarket-eth-1h:ethereum-up-or-down-may-25-2026-1am-et||polymarket-eth-4h:eth-updown-4h-1779681600||polymarket-eth-5m:eth-updown-5m-1779685200 / polymarket-btc-15m:btc-updown-15m-1779685200||polymarket-btc-1h:bitcoin-up-or-down-may-25-2026-1am-et||polymarket-btc-4h:btc-updown-4h-1779681600||polymarket-btc-5m:btc-updown-5m-1779685200||polymarket-eth-15m:eth-updown-15m-1779685200||polymarket-eth-1h:ethereum-up-or-down-may-25-2026-1am-et||polymarket-eth-4h:eth-updown-4h-1779681600||polymarket-eth-5m:eth-updown-5m-1779685200
DFlow BTC 1h
closed / $100.00 / 99.00 -> 99.00 / 0.00%
$0.00
DFlow ETH 1h
closed / $100.00 / 99.00 -> 99.00 / 0.00%
$0.00
DFlow route rebalance
-$299.19
5:00:00 AM / dflow_kalshi-btc-1h:KXBTCD-26MAY2501-T77199.99||dflow_kalshi-eth-1h:KXETHD-26MAY2501-T2099.99||polymarket-btc-15m:btc-updown-15m-1779684300||polymarket-btc-1h:bitcoin-up-or-down-may-25-2026-12am-et||polymarket-btc-4h:btc-updown-4h-1779681600||polymarket-btc-5m:btc-updown-5m-1779684900||polymarket-eth-15m:eth-updown-15m-1779684300||polymarket-eth-1h:ethereum-up-or-down-may-25-2026-12am-et||polymarket-eth-4h:eth-updown-4h-1779681600||polymarket-eth-5m:eth-updown-5m-1779684900 / dflow_kalshi-btc-1h:KXBTCD-26MAY2501-T77199.99||dflow_kalshi-eth-1h:KXETHD-26MAY2501-T2099.99||polymarket-btc-15m:btc-updown-15m-1779685200||polymarket-btc-1h:bitcoin-up-or-down-may-25-2026-1am-et||polymarket-btc-4h:btc-updown-4h-1779681600||polymarket-btc-5m:btc-updown-5m-1779685200||polymarket-eth-15m:eth-updown-15m-1779685200||polymarket-eth-1h:ethereum-up-or-down-may-25-2026-1am-et||polymarket-eth-4h:eth-updown-4h-1779681600||polymarket-eth-5m:eth-updown-5m-1779685200
Polymarket BTC 5m
closed / $100.00 / 69.52 -> 36.78 / -47.10%
-$47.10
Polymarket BTC 15m
closed / $100.00 / 83.42 -> 42.91 / -48.55%
-$48.55
Polymarket BTC 1h
closed / $100.00 / 99.92 -> 45.20 / -54.77%
-$54.77
DFlow route rebalance
+$60.98
4:59:46 AM / dflow_kalshi-btc-1h:KXBTCD-26MAY2501-T77299.99||dflow_kalshi-eth-1h:KXETHD-26MAY2501-T2099.99||polymarket-btc-15m:btc-updown-15m-1779684300||polymarket-btc-1h:bitcoin-up-or-down-may-25-2026-12am-et||polymarket-btc-4h:btc-updown-4h-1779681600||polymarket-btc-5m:btc-updown-5m-1779684900||polymarket-eth-15m:eth-updown-15m-1779684300||polymarket-eth-1h:ethereum-up-or-down-may-25-2026-12am-et||polymarket-eth-4h:eth-updown-4h-1779681600||polymarket-eth-5m:eth-updown-5m-1779684900 / dflow_kalshi-btc-1h:KXBTCD-26MAY2501-T77199.99||dflow_kalshi-eth-1h:KXETHD-26MAY2501-T2099.99||polymarket-btc-15m:btc-updown-15m-1779684300||polymarket-btc-1h:bitcoin-up-or-down-may-25-2026-12am-et||polymarket-btc-4h:btc-updown-4h-1779681600||polymarket-btc-5m:btc-updown-5m-1779684900||polymarket-eth-15m:eth-updown-15m-1779684300||polymarket-eth-1h:ethereum-up-or-down-may-25-2026-12am-et||polymarket-eth-4h:eth-updown-4h-1779681600||polymarket-eth-5m:eth-updown-5m-1779684900
DFlow BTC 1h
closed / $100.00 / 61.50 -> 99.00 / +60.98%
+$60.98
DFlow route rebalance
$0.00
4:57:42 AM / initial / dflow_kalshi-btc-1h:KXBTCD-26MAY2501-T77299.99||dflow_kalshi-eth-1h:KXETHD-26MAY2501-T2099.99||polymarket-btc-15m:btc-updown-15m-1779684300||polymarket-btc-1h:bitcoin-up-or-down-may-25-2026-12am-et||polymarket-btc-4h:btc-updown-4h-1779681600||polymarket-btc-5m:btc-updown-5m-1779684900||polymarket-eth-15m:eth-updown-15m-1779684300||polymarket-eth-1h:ethereum-up-or-down-may-25-2026-12am-et||polymarket-eth-4h:eth-updown-4h-1779681600||polymarket-eth-5m:eth-updown-5m-1779684900

Venue Windows

Itô weighting groups

Polymarket BTC 5m
1/1 priced / weight 403
5.74
2:16
Polymarket BTC 15m
1/1 priced / weight 119
23.21
12:16
Polymarket BTC 1h
1/1 priced / weight 40
34.66
57:16
Polymarket BTC 4h
1/1 priced / weight 3856
78.86
177:16
Polymarket ETH 5m
1/1 priced / weight 199
11.15
2:16
Polymarket ETH 15m
1/1 priced / weight 91
29.05
12:16
Polymarket ETH 1h
1/1 priced / weight 5
40.06
57:16
Polymarket ETH 4h
1/1 priced / weight 139
78.52
177:16
DFlow BTC 15m
0/1 priced / weight 0
--
12:16
DFlow BTC 1h
0/1 priced / weight 0
--
57:16
DFlow ETH 15m
0/1 priced / weight 0
--
12:16
DFlow ETH 1h
0/1 priced / weight 0
--
57:16

Live Market Legs

component marks and Itô weights

MarketVenueBidAskMarkItô WtRoll
btc-updown-5m-1779685200
BTC 5m / active
polymarket5.006.00
5.74
4032:16
btc-updown-15m-1779685200
BTC 15m / active
polymarket23.0024.00
23.21
11912:16
bitcoin-up-or-down-may-25-2026-1am-et
BTC 1h / active
polymarket34.0035.00
34.66
4057:16
btc-updown-4h-1779681600
BTC 4h / active
polymarket78.0081.00
78.86
3856177:16
eth-updown-5m-1779685200
ETH 5m / active
polymarket11.0012.00
11.15
1992:16
eth-updown-15m-1779685200
ETH 15m / active
polymarket29.0030.00
29.05
9112:16
ethereum-up-or-down-may-25-2026-1am-et
ETH 1h / active
polymarket39.0041.00
40.06
557:16
eth-updown-4h-1779681600
ETH 4h / active
polymarket77.0081.00
78.52
139177:16
KXBTC15M-26MAY250115-15
BTC 15m / active
dflow_kalshi----
--
639612:16
KXBTCD-26MAY2502-T77299.99
BTC 1h / active
dflow_kalshi----
--
165057:16
KXETH15M-26MAY250115-15
ETH 15m / active
dflow_kalshi----
--
37112:16
KXETHD-26MAY2502-T1979.99
ETH 1h / active
dflow_kalshi----
--
157:16

Suggested Strategy Previews

manual account stays clean by default

$497,500.01 cash
Preview first
These rows are hypothetical and excluded from Overview, Portfolio, and embedded risk.
Apply once
Apply turns a preview into normal tagged paper rows. There is no recurring scheduler in this demo.

DNS Allocator

Carry and depth-aware allocator over selected basket underliers.

Hypothetical$25.81K suggested8 legs4 baskets
Hypothetical value
$499,901.01
$500,000.00 base
Hypothetical PnL
-$98.99
preview only
Drawdown
45.1%
strategy backtest window
Execution cost
606.5 bps
L2 paper estimate
Underlying
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
preview leg / poly_will-the-iranian-regime-survive-us-military-strikes-741
Basket
ITO-S3
Mark
0.9200
PnL
-$62.46
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
preview leg / poly_will-there-be-at-least-3000-measles-cases-in-the-us-in-2026-346
Basket
ITO-X4
Mark
0.6900
PnL
-$36.53
ECB rate hike in 2026?
preview leg / poly_ecb-rate-hike-in-2026
Basket
ITO-P3
Mark
0.8450
PnL
$0.00
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
preview leg / iran-leadership-change-or-us-x-iran-ceasefire-first
Basket
ITO-E3
Mark
0.6900
PnL
$0.00
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
preview leg / poly_us-x-iran-ceasefire-before-oil-hits-120
Basket
ITO-E3
Mark
0.6450
PnL
$0.00
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
preview leg / us-x-iran-ceasefire-before-trump-visits-china
Basket
ITO-E3
Mark
0.4500
PnL
$0.00
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
preview leg / poly_us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-june-30-752-741-257
Basket
ITO-S3
Mark
0.6150
PnL
$0.00
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
preview leg / us-x-iran-ceasefire-before-trump-visits-china
Basket
ITO-S3
Mark
0.5500
PnL
$0.00

Ito Managed Basket Allocator

Suggested allocation across the strongest current Ito baskets.

Hypothetical$143.44K suggested14 legs7 baskets
Hypothetical value
$499,614.31
$500,000.00 base
Hypothetical PnL
-$385.69
preview only
Drawdown
45.1%
strategy backtest window
Execution cost
606.5 bps
L2 paper estimate
Underlying
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?
preview leg / poly_us-agrees-to-a-new-trade-deal-with-taiwan-before-2027
Basket
ITO-S4
Mark
0.1495
PnL
-$4.38
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
preview leg / bank-of-japan-increases-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-june-2026-meeting
Basket
ITO-X3
Mark
0.4940
PnL
-$41.92
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
preview leg / poly_will-eurozone-annual-gdp-growth-in-2026-be-between-1pt0-and-2pt0
Basket
ITO-P3
Mark
0.4350
PnL
-$98.49
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
preview leg / alexandre-de-moraes-out-as-brazil-supreme-court-justice
Basket
ITO-P4
Mark
0.1650
PnL
-$0.31
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
preview leg / poly_supreme-court-vacancy-in-2026
Basket
ITO-P4
Mark
0.3900
PnL
-$5.06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
preview leg / russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-june-30-2026
Basket
ITO-S2
Mark
0.1250
PnL
-$118.51
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
preview leg / no-change-in-bank-of-japans-interest-rates-after-the-june-2026-meeting
Basket
ITO-X3
Mark
0.5300
PnL
-$108.01
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
preview leg / israel-strike-on-yemen-by-may-31-2026-588
Basket
ITO-S3
Mark
0.1650
PnL
-$0.54
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
preview leg / poly_new-coronavirus-pandemic-in-2026
Basket
ITO-X4
Mark
0.0655
PnL
-$2.90
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
preview leg / poly_ukraine-officially-agrees-to-a-us-backed-ceasefire-framework-by-june-30
Basket
ITO-S2
Mark
0.0800
PnL
-$2.41

WSC Wallet Direct Allocator

Polymarket-focused carve-out preview for direct WSC custody workflows.

Hypothetical$120.40K suggested10 legs7 baskets
Hypothetical value
$499,617.47
$500,000.00 base
Hypothetical PnL
-$382.53
preview only
Drawdown
45.1%
strategy backtest window
Execution cost
2598.3 bps
L2 paper estimate
Underlying
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?
preview leg / poly_us-agrees-to-a-new-trade-deal-with-taiwan-before-2027
Basket
ITO-S4
Mark
0.1495
PnL
-$4.38
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
preview leg / bank-of-japan-increases-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-june-2026-meeting
Basket
ITO-X3
Mark
0.4940
PnL
-$41.92
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
preview leg / poly_will-eurozone-annual-gdp-growth-in-2026-be-between-1pt0-and-2pt0
Basket
ITO-P3
Mark
0.4350
PnL
-$98.49
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
preview leg / alexandre-de-moraes-out-as-brazil-supreme-court-justice
Basket
ITO-P4
Mark
0.1650
PnL
-$0.31
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
preview leg / poly_supreme-court-vacancy-in-2026
Basket
ITO-P4
Mark
0.3900
PnL
-$5.06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
preview leg / russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-june-30-2026
Basket
ITO-S2
Mark
0.1250
PnL
-$118.51
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
preview leg / no-change-in-bank-of-japans-interest-rates-after-the-june-2026-meeting
Basket
ITO-X3
Mark
0.5300
PnL
-$108.01
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
preview leg / israel-strike-on-yemen-by-may-31-2026-588
Basket
ITO-S3
Mark
0.1650
PnL
-$0.54
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
preview leg / poly_new-coronavirus-pandemic-in-2026
Basket
ITO-X4
Mark
0.0655
PnL
-$2.90
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
preview leg / poly_ukraine-officially-agrees-to-a-us-backed-ceasefire-framework-by-june-30
Basket
ITO-S2
Mark
0.0800
PnL
-$2.41